{"id":2818,"date":"2017-03-31T11:53:23","date_gmt":"2017-03-31T10:53:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.webeev.fr\/top\/?p=2818"},"modified":"2017-03-31T12:16:12","modified_gmt":"2017-03-31T11:16:12","slug":"election-presidentielle-2017-sondage-filteris-fiable","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.webeev.fr\/top\/election-presidentielle-2017-sondage-filteris-fiable\/","title":{"rendered":"Election pr\u00e9sidentielle 2017 : Le sondage Filteris est-il fiable ?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Alors que de nombreux sondages donnent Emmanuel Macron et Marine Le Pen grands gagnants pour le\u00a0second tour de l’\u00e9lection\u00a0pr\u00e9sidentielle 2017, le sondeur\u00a0Filteris n’est pas du m\u00eame avis !<\/p>\n

Filteris est une soci\u00e9t\u00e9 de sondages Canadienne qui propose, en compl\u00e9ment des sondages traditionnels, une nouvelle forme de pr\u00e9diction. A l\u2019aide d\u2019un logiciel et de puissants algorithmes, la soci\u00e9t\u00e9 d\u00e9termine le \u00ab\u00a0poids politique\u00a0\u00bb des candidats en lice pour la pr\u00e9sidentielle 2017. Le logiciel de Filteris se base sur des mots-cl\u00e9s qui auront \u00e9t\u00e9s d\u00e9finis. Il va ainsi naviguer de sites en sites et r\u00e9colter des milliers de messages post\u00e9s sur les r\u00e9seaux sociaux. Deux param\u00e8tres vont \u00e9galement entrer en compte\u00a0: le mot-cl\u00e9 en lui-m\u00eame (buzz) ainsi que la qualit\u00e9 des donn\u00e9es (le contexte). En fonction des valeurs associ\u00e9es aux mots-cl\u00e9s (positives ou n\u00e9gatives), Filteris calcule le \u00ab\u00a0poids politique num\u00e9rique\u00a0\u00bb de chaque candidat.<\/p>\n

Le dernier sondage\u00a0de Filteris<\/h2>\n

Si l\u2019on s\u2019en tient aux derni\u00e8res pr\u00e9visions de Filteris \u00e0 propos du poids politique num\u00e9rique, Marine Le Pen devancerait Fran\u00e7ois Fillon gagnant de peu au 1er tour des \u00e9lections avec 23,56% des voix contre 22,44% pour Fran\u00e7ois Fillon. Emmanuel Macron serait quant \u00e0 lui en troisi\u00e8me marche du podium, \u00e0 21,24%.<\/p>\n

\"Dernier<\/p>\n

Les pr\u00e9dictions de Filteris sont-elles fiables ?<\/h2>\n

Les rouages du fonctionnement pr\u00e9cis de Filteris ne sont pas connus. En effet, la soci\u00e9t\u00e9 ne d\u00e9voile pas les algorithmes utilis\u00e9s et le justifie par le \u00ab\u00a0secret industriel\u00a0\u00bb. Filteris aime rappeler et relayer les pr\u00e9dictions justes r\u00e9alis\u00e9es par le logiciel. Cependant, les r\u00e9sultats ne sont pas exacts \u00e0 chaque fois. En effet, la veille du premier tour des primaires de 2016, Filteris avait bien pr\u00e9dit que Fran\u00e7ois Fillon l\u2019emporterait. L\u2019\u00e9cart entre les chiffres, quant \u00e0 lui, reste tr\u00e8s creus\u00e9\u00a0: Filteris planchait sur 22,1%, les r\u00e9sultats r\u00e9els affichaient 44%.<\/p>\n

Un autre facteur \u00e0 prendre en compte est celui des r\u00e9seaux sociaux. Seulement 10% des Fran\u00e7ais sont inscrits sur Twitter. On doit \u00e9galement prendre en compte dans le calcul la facilit\u00e9 \u00e0 faire monter un candidat dans ce genre de \u00ab\u00a0sondages\u00a0\u00bb \u00e0 l\u2019aide de likes, retweet et autres\u2026 Enfin, la mesure du \u00ab\u00a0poids politique num\u00e9rique\u00a0\u00bb ne prend pas en compte les personnes \u00e2g\u00e9es qui sont tr\u00e8s faiblement repr\u00e9sent\u00e9es sur les r\u00e9seaux sociaux.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Alors que de nombreux sondages donnent Emmanuel Macron et Marine Le Pen grands gagnants pour le\u00a0second tour de l’\u00e9lection\u00a0pr\u00e9sidentielle 2017, le sondeur\u00a0Filteris n’est pas du m\u00eame avis ! Filteris est une soci\u00e9t\u00e9 de sondages Canadienne qui propose, en compl\u00e9ment des sondages traditionnels, une nouvelle forme de pr\u00e9diction. A l\u2019aide d\u2019un logiciel et de puissants algorithmes, […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2820,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[255],"tags":[348],"yoast_head":"\nElection pr\u00e9sidentielle 2017 : Le sondage Filteris est-il fiable ?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"La soci\u00e9t\u00e9 de sondages Canadienne Filteris place Fran\u00e7ois Fillon et Marine Le Pen au second tour de l'\u00e9lection pr\u00e9sidentielle 2017.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.webeev.fr\/top\/election-presidentielle-2017-sondage-filteris-fiable\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Election pr\u00e9sidentielle 2017 : Le sondage Filteris 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